Diagnostic Performances of COVID-19 between Clinical Performance, False Omission Rate and Prevalence Boundaries of COVID-19 Rapid Diagnostic Kits using Visual Logistics
Diagnostic Performances of Covid-19 Rapid Diagnostic Kits using Visual Logistics
Keywords:
clinical performance, false omission rate, prevalence boundaries, rapid COVID-19 tests, antigenic tests (RAgTs), molecular tests (RMoTs)Abstract
Rapid diagnostic tests with good clinical performance are essential for effective infectious disease control. This study aimed to evaluate the utility of visual logistics in illustrating the clinical performance relationships of rapid COVID-19 test kits. Data on sensitivity and specificity for antigen tests (RAgTs) and molecular tests (RMoTs) were collected from the FIND and Thai FDA websites, covering reports from November 1, 2021, to June 30, 2022. The analysis categorized test kit performance into six groups: WHO criteria (9.0%), sub-tier level (7.0%), low-level (30.0%), Thai FDA criteria (26.3%), medium level at Tier 2 (24.4%), and high level at Tier 3 (3.3%). RAgTs showed low to medium clinical performance (sensitivity ≥ 94.2%, specificity ≥ 99.2%), while RMoTs exhibited moderate to high performance (sensitivity ≥ 98.4%, specificity ≥ 99.1%). Visual logistics revealed prevalence boundaries (PB) at 58.4%, 48.6%, 33.3%, 70.3%, 50.6%, and no boundary at a false omission rate (RFO) of 5%. RAgTs with moderate and high performance demonstrated acceptable positive predictive values (PPV) and negative predictive values (NPV) across various PB levels. In conclusion, visual logistics offers a practical tool for understanding clinical performance relationships of test kits and could be applied to other infectious diseases in the future.
References
Department of Disease Control. Public health guidelines for managing the COVID-19 outbreak under the provisions issued pursuant to Section 9 of the Emergency Decree on Public Administration in Emergency Situations B.E. 2548 [Internet]. [updated 2023 Mar 25; cited 2023 Sep 11]. Available from: URL: http://www.ddc.moph.go.th/viralpneumonia/file/g_other/g_Other02.pdf
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) [Internet]. [updated 2020 Dec 4; cited 2023 Oct 6]. Available from: URL: http://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/communication/guidance.html
World Health Organization. COVID-19 deaths | WHO COVID-19 dashboard [Internet]. [updated 2024 Nov 24; cited 2024 Dec 6]. Available from: URL: https://data.who.int/dashboards/covid19/deaths?n=c
Mardian Y, Kosasih H, Karyana M, Neal A, Lau CY. Review of current COVID-19 diagnostics and opportunities for further development. Front Med 2021;8:615099. doi: 10.3389/fmed.2021.615099
Timeline: WHO’s COVID-19 response [Internet]. [updated 2021 Jan 29; cited 2024 Oct 6]. Available from: URL: http://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/interactive-timeline
COVID-19 target product profiles for priority diagnostics to support response to the COVID-19 pandemic v.1.0 [Internet]. [updated 2020 Sep 28; cited 2021 Mar 9]. Available from: URL: https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/covid-19-target-product-profiles-for-priority-diagnostics-to-support-response-to-the-covid-19-pandemic-v.0.1
Pan Y, Zhang D, Yang P, Poon LL, Wang Q. Viral load of SARS-CoV-2 in clinical samples. Lancet Infect Dis 2020;20(4):411-2. doi :10.1016/s1473-3099(20)30113-4
Lee SW, Lee J, Moon SY, Jin HY, Yang JM, Ogino S, et al. Physical activity and the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection, severe COVID-19 illness and COVID-19 related mortality in South Korea: A nationwide cohort study. Br J Sports Med 2022;56(16):901-12. doi: 10.1136/bjsports-2021-104203
Jennings L, Van Deerlin VM, Gulley ML. Recommended principles and practices for validating clinical molecular pathology tests. Arch Pathol Lab Med 2009;133(5):743–55. doi:10.5858/133.5.743
External quality assessment resources for COVID-19 testing [Internet]. [cited 2023 Oct 10]. Available from: URL: https://www.finddx.org/tools-and-resources/dxconnect/test-directories/external-quality-assessment-resources-for-covid-19-testing/
Denzler A, Jacobs ML, Witte V, Schnitzler P, Denkinger CM, Knop M. Rapid comparative evaluation of SARS-CoV-2 rapid point-of-care antigen tests. Infection 2022;50(5):1281-93. doi.10.1007/s15010-022-01810-1
List of COVID-19 test kits and reagents that have been approved for production and import -THFDA DATA CATALOG [Internet]. [cited 2023 Oct 25]. Available from: URL: https://catalog.fda.moph.go.th/es/dataset/testkit-covid19
Chaimayo C, Kaewnaphan B, Tanlieng N, Athipanyasilp N, Sirijatuphat R, Chayakulkeeree M, et al. Rapid SARS-CoV-2 antigen detection assay in comparison with real-time RT-PCR assay for laboratory diagnosis of COVID-19 in Thailand. Virol J 2020;17(1):177. doi: 10.1186/s12985-020-01452-5
Wong HB, Lim GH. Measures of diagnostic accuracy: Sensitivity, specificity, PPV and NPV. Proceedings of Singapore Healthcare 2011 Dec;20(4):316–8. doi.org/10.1177/201010581102000411
Kost GJ. The impact of increasing prevalence, false omissions, and diagnostic uncertainty on Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) test performance. Arch Pathol Lab Med 2021; 145:797–813. doi:10.5858/arpa.2020-0716-SA
Kost GJ. Diagnostic strategies for endemic coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) rapid antigen tests, repeat testing, and prevalence boundaries. Arch Pathol Lab Med 2022; 146:16–25. doi: 10.5858/ arpa.2021-0386-SA
Kost GJ. Designing and interpreting COVID-19 diagnostics: Mathematics, visual logistics, and low prevalence. Arch Pathol Lab Med 2021;145:291–307. doi: 10.5858/arpa.2020-0443-SA
Kost, GJ. The Impact of repeating COVID-19 rapid antigen tests on prevalence boundary performance and missed diagnoses. Diagnostics 2023;13(20):3223. doi:10.3390/ diagnostics13203223
Itsarasongkram M. Evaluation of the effectiveness of antigen test kits from three manufacturing companies imported to Thailand for COVID-19 screening. J Off Dis Prev Control 10th Ubon Ratchathani Province 2022;20(1):36-48.
Jutrakul Y. Evaluation of the accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of SARS-CoV-2 Antigen testing using Rapid Antigen test kits and Self-Antigen Test Kits at Udonthani Hospital. Udonthani Hosp Med J 2023;31(1):42–50.
Caruana G, Croxatto A, Kampouri E, Kritikos A, Opota O, Foerster M, et al. Implementing SARS-CoV-2 rapid antigen testing in the emergency ward of a Swiss university hospital: the INCREASE study. Microorganisms 2021;9(4):798 doi: 10.3390/microorganisms9040798
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Buddhchinaraj Phisanulok Hospital

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.